The 1.6 crore figure was arrived at by looking at how many people had got their first shots as of May 2, that is 16 weeks back, and comparing it with the total number of those who have so far got their second. All data is from press releases issued by the health ministry.
The government had on May 13 approved a gap of 12-16 weeks for Covishield, which accounts for over 85% of all vaccinations; for Covaxin, it’s a much shorter 4-6 weeks. The number of people whose second shots are delayed beyond the recommended interval may well be higher since the calculation for 1.6 crore is based on 16 weeks for Covishield and not six weeks for Covaxin. So, the figure for those who’ve got both doses so far includes many who received their first shot after May 2.
The number of people who are eligible for their second shot – after 12 weeks – and are yet to be fully vaccinated is 3.9 crore (again, this number may be higher since the minimum gap for Covaxin is four weeks compared to 12 for Covishield).
According to government data, 12.8 crore persons from the priority groups of healthcare and frontline workers, 45-59 years and those over 60 years had got their first dose on May 2.
Of them, 11.2 crore have got their second dose.
Over one crore 60+ people, about 45 lakh in the 45-59 age group, 12 lakh-odd health workers and 1.8 lakh frontline workers from among those who had got their first shot by May 2 had not received their second dose as of Monday morning.
One of the most important reasons given for the use of the CoWin platform for Covid immunisation was to ensure that groups more vulnerable, because of their risk of exposure such as health and frontline workers, and groups with higher mortality risk such as those above 45 years and the elderly could be accorded priority. However, the trend appears to be contrary to what was intended.
For those in the 18-44 age group, vaccination opened only on May 1. On May 2 just over 86,000 in this age group got their first dose.
Since then, vaccination among them has taken off with over 1.94 crore having got their second dose by Monday – driven to some extent by their employers organising camps and other initiatives to get them vaccinated.
Overall, in the 18+ population, 48% have got at least one shot, but only about 14% who have got both. Vaccination for the 18-45 group opened on May 1, which is about 16 weeks ago.